China is preparing for a potential resurgence of tensions with the U.S., especially if Donald Trump regains the presidency. Chinese officials anticipate a focus on critical points of contention, including ongoing trade disputes, technological competition, and Taiwan’s status. Beijing views these issues as central to U.S.-China relations, with particular sensitivity around Taiwan as the U.S. continues arms sales and political gestures that Beijing perceives as provocations.
Trade has been a source of friction since the imposition of tariffs under Trump’s previous term, sparking an economic standoff that impacted global markets. China fears that similar measures may return, alongside continued restrictions on technological exports, especially in fields like semiconductors. Such actions have stymied China’s progress in advanced tech, an area where the U.S. has sought to maintain its lead.
China’s stance on Taiwan remains firm, viewing the island as a core national interest. Any indication of U.S. support for Taiwan’s independence would be met with sharp diplomatic resistance. Beijing expects a Trump administration to possibly escalate the symbolic and material support for Taiwan, risking a further deterioration in relations. The potential for renewed tension underscores the challenges for U.S.-China relations if Trump returns to office.
